By Levant Signal · Published 12 Sep 2026 12:54 UTC
Updated 12 Sep 2026 12:54 UTC · Sources checked 12 Sep 2026 12:54 UTC
Opinion: judge the longer struggle
The Kurds are rising. That is an argument about political endurance and accumulated gains, not a claim that every battle was won. Calling an entire people defeated because one organisation changes strategy mistakes the instrument for the cause.
Since the 1990s, Kurdish political movements have built institutions, secured recognition and entered negotiations over questions that cannot be settled by force alone. The right test is not whether every national aspiration has been fulfilled. It is whether Kurdish communities have more durable ways to defend their rights—and what remains to be secured.
Sources: Kurdistan Parliament Iraqi Council of Representatives Reuters, via Investing.com
Iraq: autonomy is a substantial achievement
The clearest institutional case is Iraqi Kurdistan. The Kurdistan Parliament dates its first regional election to 19 May 1992. Iraq's 2005 constitution subsequently recognised the Kurdistan Region and its existing authorities in Article 117. That is a meaningful change from having no constitutionally recognised regional government.
Autonomy is not independence, nor does it remove disputes over power and resources. The parliament's own history records the intra-Kurdish fighting that began in 1994. But acknowledging those fractures does not erase the institution-building. A serious assessment must count what endured, not only what remained beyond reach.
Sources: Kurdistan Parliament Iraqi Council of Representatives
Türkiye: ending an armed campaign is not ending a people
Reuters reported in May 2025 that the PKK announced its dissolution and an end to its armed struggle, which began in 1984, following Abdullah Öcalan's appeal. Reuters also described a movement weakened by military pressure. It would be misleading to claim Türkiye had achieved nothing militarily.
But military pressure and political resolution are different things. AP reported a conditional-pardon law in August 2026. That does not establish that all Kurdish demands were accepted, or that a lasting settlement is guaranteed.
The diplomatic argument is stronger than a victory slogan: a move away from armed conflict can open space for rights pursued through politics. The measure of success should be enforceable freedoms and civilian safety, not whether an armed organisation keeps its old form. The PKK is not synonymous with the Kurdish people.
Syria: recognition matters, but its scope matters too
The last decade also made the Kurdish-led SDF a consequential actor. Reuters reported its announcement of Islamic State's territorial defeat at Baghouz in March 2019, while warning that the group remained a threat. Battlefield importance, however, does not automatically become protected political rights.
In September 2026, North Press reported Syrian recognition of Autonomous Administration school certificates, subject to admission requirements, and authorisation for Kurdish teaching. It also reported protests over restricted teaching hours. These are concrete education developments—not proof that Damascus has accepted a constitutional autonomy settlement.
This is where diplomacy should be judged carefully: recognition can be partial and still matter. The next question is whether it becomes dependable protection for language, education and political participation.
Iran and unity: resist easy conclusions
Iran offers no equivalent autonomy success in the evidence considered here. A 2025 UN report cites findings that Kurds and Baluchis were disproportionately affected by the government's response to the Woman, Life, Freedom protests. Such repression must not be repackaged as a victory, or treated as proof that Tehran is about to concede.
Nor can growing unity be measured day by day. AP's account of an April 2025 Syrian Kurdish conference documents different political groups seeking a shared position. That is significant coordination, not evidence that every Kurdish party across four countries now agrees.
Solidarity is most valuable when it can accommodate disagreement, protect minorities within Kurdish-led institutions and deliver practical rights. It does not require pretending differences have disappeared.
Sources: United Nations Secretary-General Associated Press, via News-Press NOW
Diplomacy is not a synonym for defeat
Those who announce a final Kurdish defeat overlook a longer history of institution-building and political adaptation. Those who announce inevitable victory overlook how fragile rights remain.
The stronger case is this: Kurdish aspirations cannot be reduced to the fate of one army, party or negotiation. Lasting success means people can speak their language, choose representatives and live safely. The struggle is unfinished. That is not the same as lost.
Sources: Kurdistan Parliament Iraqi Council of Representatives Reuters, via Investing.com North Press Agency Associated Press, via News-Press NOW
What remains uncertain
Opinion, with sources checked on 12 September 2026. This is a selective historical argument, not a comprehensive account of all Kurdish communities or a prediction of future settlements. Iraqi constitutional autonomy, Syrian education recognition and the PKK peace process are distinct developments. Announcements do not prove implementation; coordination does not establish universal Kurdish unity. Some linked official and AP text was available through search indexing rather than direct page retrieval. No independent human review is claimed.
Source notes
- Kurdistan Parliament
Institutional history of the 1992 election, regional institutions and subsequent intra-Kurdish conflict; the parliament's own account.
- Iraqi Council of Representatives
Official constitution, Article 117: recognition of the Kurdistan Region. Relevant text inspected through the search index; direct retrieval failed.
- Reuters, via Investing.com
May 12, 2025 reporting on the PKK's dissolution announcement, the peace initiative and military pressure. An announcement is not proof of completed disarmament or a final rights settlement.
- Associated Press
August 18, 2026 reporting on a conditional-pardon law. Indexed AP reporting inspected; direct retrieval failed. Signing does not establish full implementation.
- Reuters, via Cyprus Mail
March 23, 2019 report of the SDF's announcement at Baghouz, distinguishing territorial defeat from the continuing Islamic State threat.
- North Press Agency
Jwan Shekaki's September 11, 2026 report attributing education decisions to Syria's ministry and reporting objections to limited Kurdish teaching. Underlying legal instruments and classroom implementation were not independently inspected.
- United Nations Secretary-General
June 18, 2025 human-rights report A/HRC/59/22, including the fact-finding mission's assessment of disproportionate effects on Kurds and Baluchis. Historical human-rights evidence, not a current forecast of Iranian politics.
- Associated Press, via News-Press NOW
April 26, 2025 reporting on a conference bringing different Syrian Kurdish political groups together. Evidence of coordination at that event, not permanent unity.